An independent analysis of the 2020 Presidential Election Who Will Win on November 3rd? Learn more. (Biden 1 – 1 Trump), Trump had always planned to run for a second term, and has floated with the idea of running for a third or even fourth term. (Biden 3 – 4 Trump), There has been a lot of social unrest, with enough violence to threaten social order. Lichtman’s ‘Keys to the White House’ method, uses a series of thirteen categories — such as economy, social unrest, incumbency, charisma, and military entanglements — in order to gauge the current state of politics. Now He’s Ready to Call 2020. (Biden 1 – 3 Trump), Under Trump, the pandemic pushed the economy into recession. Allan Lichtman, a political historian at American University whose book 'The Keys to the White House ' has helped him correctly predict the last nine presidential elections, told Salon last week the coronavirus pandemic may spell defeat for President Trump in the 2020 election. Allan Lichtman, an acclaimed author and history professor, revealed his 2020 election prediction in a new video for the New York Times. Trump/Pence vs Biden/Harris. These battlegrounds for the Senate are going to come down to which candidates get the most voter turnout for them, straight up. A lot of eyes are on the Senate races. (Biden 5 -5 Trump), We haven’t had failures, but we also haven’t had big achievements. So here it is in order: from the House, the Senate, and lastly, the White House. The Republicans lost the House during the midterm election. Another factor is approval rating. *I also have Kentucky as a safe Republican senate race. And although Biden is leading in Florida and Texas, I still see Trump managing to squeak out just enough votes to win those states, as he has the vote of older white voters, and (surprisingly) as well as a few hispanics. Change ), Optical Illusions Changing People’s Perception of Gravity, Shocking decision to remove wolves from endangered species protection could lead to history repeating itself. ( Log Out /  Allan Lichtman, American University history professor, has successfully predicted every election since 1984. But I do believe that as time changes, and Texas begins to become more democratic, this will likely be the last time Texas votes Republican. Professor Allan Lichtman, who has predicted every election correctly for the last four decades, predicts that Joe Biden will win in 2020. So here it is in order: from the House, the Senate, and lastly, the White House. Oct. History professor Allan Lichtman is used to being right. 2020 PREDICTION Lichtman says before 2020, Trump appeared to be heading to a reelection. Juxtaposing The 2020 Electoral Maps of Kevin McCullough and Alan Lichtman By Tony Odarg on October 14, 2020. (CNN) History professor Allan ... www.cnn.com Home › Articles › Juxtaposing The 2020 Electoral Maps of Kevin McCullough and Alan Lichtman. Chances 13 Keys Writings Method. Here’s my prediction of the electoral map results. Lichtman and Keilis-Borok analyzed presidential elections from 1860 to 1980 to create the “13 Keys” system. 8:18. He joined CBSN to explain his methodology and announce his 2020 prediction. ‎Distinguished Professor Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of every presidential election since he created his 13 “keys” to winning the White House in 1981. Some were KKK riots like in Charlottesville, and most of the unrest in 2018 came after the death of George Floyd. growth. The polls won’t be as relevant in my prediction. However, several other keys could still fall between now and 2020, making the prediction of a Trump victory highly uncertain. Her approval rating in Maine has absolutely tanked, and in the latest poll from November 1st, Sara Gideon leads the Republican incumbent by 8 points. Allan Lichtman is famous for accurately predicting the winner of every American presidential election since 1986. He has made many insulin, misogynistic, and racist comments, has attacked the press, and failed to condemn fascist groups and white supremacists wile willing to condemn left wing groups. That’s how I feel about Allan Lichtman, a history professor at American University, who has accurately forecast just about every U.S. election over the past 40 years. Professor Allan Lichtman, ... made 2016 "the most difficult election to assess" since beginning his predictions. Most historians just study the past. I like the quote from Lichtman that "the presidency is for the incument to lose." A famous American historian, Allan Lichtman, who correctly called Trump the winner in 2016, predicts Biden will win the 2020 elections based on a 13-point question. Copyright © 2021 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. California Privacy/Information We Collect. Here are Allan Lichtman 2020 Reference. Allan Lichtman, a professor of history at American University, has been predicting presidential winners since 1984, using a 13-question system he developed. Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. So this key goes to Joe Biden. Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, West Virginia. A prediction … Overall, I think the blue seats will remain blue and the red seats will remain red. Right now incumbent Senator Ernst (R) is down in Iowa’s polls by one point to opponent Theresa Greenfield. Senate finds Trump impeachment trial constitutional on first day, CBS poll: Majority of Americans favor more COVID economic relief, Suspect arrested after attacks against Asian Americans in Oakland, Celebrities show support for Britney Spears. (Biden 6 – 5 Trump), The incumbent is NOT charismatic. Astrological Predictions About Us Presidential Elections 2020. But we’ve been here before (cue 2016), and the polls were, frankly, wrong. 13 KEYS PREDICTION. Allan Lichtman 2020 of Harper Wentzell Read about Allan Lichtman 2020 referenceor see Allan Lichtman 2020 Prediction 2021 plus Allan Lichtman 2020 Prediction Map. Lichtman has not made a prediction for the 2020 election even though the answers to the 13 keys should be known by now. After announcing his prediction that former Vice President Joe Biden will win the 2020 election in a … I predict that the 2020 election for the House of Representatives will result in a Deomcrat majority once again. Allan Lichtman: The Keys to 2020 | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO) - Duration: 8:18. View current outage information as it becomes available. The "scandal key" is one of the 13 factors in Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" prediction system, detailed in a 2016 Washington Post article, … Based on my predictions, I predict that the Democrats will gain the Senate Majority 52-48. The polling has been solid and I think Warnock is going to win the special election. allan lichtman donald trump won t be the 2020 republican nominee and. So let’s first review what senate races are safe for Democrats and Republicans. Professor Allan Lichtman, who has predicted every election correctly for the last four decades, predicts that Joe Biden will win in 2020. So this key goes to Biden. Professor Allan Lichtman says US president-elect Biden will have significant advantages if he runs again. Allan Lichtman 2020 Prediction Map. And Donald Trump will be voted out of office. Read about Allan Lichtman 2020 referenceor see Allan Lichtman 2020 Prediction 2021 plus Allan Lichtman 2020 Prediction Map. june 8th, 2020 - allan lichtman says he can predict the oute of any u s presidential election he often does it months or even years ahead of time oh and his predictions have been right in every presidential' 5 / 13 '5 REASONS WHY TRUMP WILL WIN MICHAEL MOORE JUNE 8TH, 2020 - AND NOW I HAVE EVEN MORE AWFUL DEPRESSING NEWS FOR YOU DONALD J TRUMP IS GOING TO WIN IN NOVEMBER THIS … I think the Dems have a shot in Georgia’s special election with Raphael Warnock. 150 million people are expected to vote in 2020, which is 45% of the American population. Real Time with Bill Maher 445,444 views. Historian Allan Lichtman says that if U.S. President Donald Trump is impeached, it's unlikely he'll win re-election in 2020. He Predicted Trump’s Win in 2016. So this key goes to Trump. At the end of the Fox interviews, he has even encouraged people to donate to his campaign, saying that he needs money, and that his opponent is out funding him “because they hate my guts.” And the people “hating his guts” is a very accurate statement. So this key definitely goes to Biden. So which party will control the Senate? Senator Graham has said on many Fox News interviews that Harrison is raising a lot more money than Graham’s campaign, and that he is being killed financially. Fortune Teller Predicts Next U S President. The model has predicted every election correctly since its inception. Stories from 2020 of Covid-19 and beyond. I think this will be a lean Deomcratic vote. A history professor, Allan Lichtman, is one of those rare experts who has correctly predicted all the US elections since 1984. Many have been trying to predict the result of the upcoming US elections, but all eyes are now set on the predictions of one man: Allan Lichtman. It is my prediction that incumbent President Donald Trump is highly vulnerable in the upcoming 2020 elections. (Biden 2 – 3 Trump), The poor response to the pandemic and the recession has caused a negative G.D.P. Lastly you have the state of Maine. The polls are showing the signs of Kansas being Republican across the ballot. I think that the House for the most part will remain the same, with representatives like Kevin McCarthy, Ocasio-Cortez, and Nancy Pelosi, etc. Speaking to Fox News, American University's Prof. Allan Lichtman explained his prediction for a Biden victory based on his Keys to the White House model. Allan Lichtman, who has accurately predicted every election since ... Jan 15, 2021 ... MUST WATCH. Professor Allan Lichtman in July 2020, updated his model, and now predicts Joe Biden will win the election. (Biden 3 – 3 Trump), Through big tax cuts, but also through executive orders, Donald Trump has fundamentally changed the policies of the Obama presidency. Trump gains one "true" because Biden is not charismatic. American University history professor Allan Lichtman developed a system that has accurately predicted every presidential election since 1984 (with one … Allan Lichtman predicts the election winner based on 13 factors: Midterm gains, no contests, incumbency, no third party, strong short term economy, strong long term economy, major policy changes, no scandals, no foreign/military failure, foreign military success, no civil unrest, charismatic incumbent, and uncharismatic opponent. (Biden 1 – 0 Trump), No Republicans challenged Trump in the 2020 primaries. Change ), You are commenting using your Twitter account. So if Biden won by four more keys than Trump, what will that look like on the election map? Now He’s Ready to Call 2020. Most historians just study the past. Professor Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the winner of every US presidential election since 1984. Hear 2020 prediction from professor who has accurately called elections since 1984 06:21. My prediction: I am making a bold prediction in South Carolina. Of all the books we have read, we highly recommend "Predicting The Next President" by Allan J. Lichtman BUY: Predicting The Next President admin@usadecides.com | 2658 … Lichtman took 120 years of US elections, from 1860 to 1980, and, along with a Russian earthquake expert, developed what he has dubbed “The Keys to the White House.” He explains: “We recast American presidential elections as stability, the party holding the White House keeps the White House. Senator Ernst has also had an up and down approval, and many voters are frustrated that she hasn’t done enough to represent Iowa. This is the only site with all 2020 US Election Predictions . In his book, The Keys to the White House, Professor Allan Lichtman came up with 13 ‘keys’ that would predict how the American people pick their next president. june 8th, 2020 - allan lichtman says he can predict the oute of ... '2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FORECAST MAPS 270TOWIN JUNE 8TH, 2020 - THE CURRENT RATINGS FOR THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FROM 8 / 13. Right now, polls say Joe Biden has a healthy lead over President Trump. Allan Lichtman's Check Box System. the man who predicted trump s victory says democrats cnn. The president has a reputation of lying his ass off. As for Iowa, that can go either way. The history professor uses a unique system, which identifies 13 “keys” to winning the White House, and was one of the few experts … Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973.. Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model, which he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. With these interesting predictions coming out, I decided to make my own prediction about what the results will be in the 2020 election. Predicting The Next President Of The United States Of. I am using these 13 factors to determine my prediction, with one extra factor: honesty.